شبیه سازی و تحلیل کیفی و کمّی خطر فرآیند تولید سوربیتول

نوع مقاله : علمی-پژوهشی

نویسندگان

دانشکده مهندسی شیمی، پردیس دانشکده‌های فنی، دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران

چکیده

استفاده از هیدروژن در مقیاس بزرگ، نیازمند کنترل ریسک دقیق می­باشد که با سرمایه ­گذاری بر روی روش تحلیل ریسک قابل اطمینان، قابل دستیابی می­ باشد. در مطالعه­ ی حاضر برای بررسی خطرات ناشی از حضور هیدروژن در شرایط فشار و دمای بالا در واحد تولید سوربیتول، ابتدا از روش تحلیل مفهوم خطر به همراه روش تحلیل کیفی ریسک برای شناسایی خطرات اصلی موجود در واحد  استفاده شده است. سپس از نرم­افزار PHAST 8.22 برای مدل­ سازی پیامدهای ناشی از سناریوها با ریسک بالا، روش تحلیل ریسک کمی با استفاده از داده­ های ارزیابی ریسک انجمن بین‌المللی تولیدکنندگان نفت و گاز به­ منظور تخمین فرکانس سناریوها و روش تحلیل درخت رویداد برای تخمین فرکانس پیامدهای ناشی از سناریوهای تعریف شده، مورد استفاده قرار گرفته است. در آخر نواحی آسیب­پذیر در اثر پیامد سناریوها، مشخص ­شده و تعداد تلفات درصورت بروز هر یک از این پیامدها مشخص شده است. با استفاده از نمودار فرکانس بر حسب تعداد تلفات بر اساس مدرک معیار پذیرش ریسک برای هیدروژن، نواحی با ریسک غیرقابل­ قبول مشخص شده­اند. با توجه به این نمودار، ریسک راکتور و کمپرسور در ناحیه­ی غیرقابل­ قبول قرار دارند که اقدامات لازم از نظر ساختاری، عملکردی و یا سازمانی برای کاهش ریسک مرتبط با این دو تجهیز باید در الویت قرار بگیرد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

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